Let’s Ask Arty About the Impact DOGE Cuts had on Forecasting the July 4th Texas Flood

Let’s Ask Arty uses existing Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology to query LLMs about politics in these troubled times.

Query: Did DOGE cuts weaken Texas flood forecasting capabilities?

Yes, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) cuts appear to have significantly weakened Texas’s flood forecasting capabilities, contributing to the tragic July 4 flooding in Kerr County.

The following list calls out the key impacts DOGE cuts had on forecasting and responding to the Texas flood:

  • Staffing Reductions: The National Weather Service (NWS) lost nearly 600 employees in early 2025, including critical roles like warning coordination meteorologists. These vacancies disrupted coordination with local emergency managers, delaying evacuation efforts.
  • Forecast Accuracy: The NWS forecast underestimated rainfall totals—predicting 4–8 inches in the Hill Country, while actual totals exceeded 15 inches in some areas. This gap was partly due to reduced resources, including fewer weather balloon launches used for atmospheric data2.
  • Warning Dissemination Delays: Although the NWS issued a flash flood emergency at 1:14 a.m., local alerts (like Kerrville Police’s Facebook post) didn’t go out until hours later, when the Guadalupe River had already surged over 20 feet3.
  • Systemic Vulnerabilities: DOGE cuts also affected NOAA’s broader operations, including climate research and disaster preparedness programs, leaving communities more exposed to extreme weather events.

Even Elon Musk’s AI tool, Grok 3, flagged these cuts as a contributing factor to the disaster, citing degraded forecasting and communication breakdowns.

It’s a sobering reminder of how vital real-time data and expert coordination are when nature turns volatile.

My Input

Texas is a MAGA map of where our country is heading as it relates to climate disasters, science, and religion.

Donald Trump is a climate-change-denying fool and shill of the fossil fuel industry, and Texas consistently carries water for him (to the detriment of its citizens). Well, as the old saying goes, the chickens have come home to roost, and in Texas, they roost over the dead bodies of children swept away by flood waters, incompetence, greed, and, yes, religion.

Texas has a strange history of injecting religion into the climate discussion, with Republican officials in the Lonestar state sometimes linking skepticism of climate change policy with religious beliefs, including the moronically simplistic and scientifically deaf idea that God controls the weather (If that’s the case, God must have been pretty pissed on July 4th, 2025).

In 2011, Governor Rick Perry’s official proclamation for “Days of Prayer for Rain” during a historic drought drew national attention, while Texas government officials have consistently downplayed climate science, even going so far as to sue the EPA over greenhouse gas regulations.

More recently, current Texas Governor Greg Abbot and several state legislators issued public statements indicating skepticism or resistance toward climate change policy, even in the face of increasing climate-related disasters.

Today, I’m waiting for the usual “God works in mysterious ways” suspects to appear on social media channels, in television news reports, and from church pulpits, telling Texans not to ask too many questions, including why a God who controls the weather simply didn’t prevent raging flood waters from sweeping children to a terrifying death.

And what’s worse in my mind is that the “it’s not for us to question God’s plan” madness is strategic — a way to get citizens to trust and submit to a higher power (be it religious or political) and sweep aside the possibility that we humans play a role in our destiny.

Just keep on keeping on.

Nothing to see here.

Why do we continue to put our blood, sweat, tears, blind faith, and money into a faulty, poorly thought-out, riddled with holes and inconsistencies, idea of God? Because doing so keeps us at bay and benefits those in power.

Hey, I’ve got an idea! Instead of relinquishing our destiny to a non-existent entity with zero accountability, let’s put our blood, sweat, tears, money, and good-faith efforts into developing our ability to learn, understand, and implement solutions to problems like climate change.

Let’s shift our approach from relying on thoughts, prayers, and avoiding questions to embracing innovation and action (including reinstating Government funding for key agencies that keep us safe). That way we can mitigate future human loss and suffering from tragedies like the flooding in Texas.

Just a thought.

In the meantime, let’s remember these facts from Arty about Texas politicians and climate change:

  • Texas lawmakers have repeatedly blocked bills that would require state agencies to plan for climate-related impacts. Since 2009, legislation mandating climate adaptation strategies has consistently failed to pass committee hearings.
  • In 2023, the only climate-related law passed was designed to prevent local governments (like El Paso) from implementing their climate mitigation policies.
  • Texas emits over 800 million tons of greenhouse gases annually—comparable to Germany—but has no comprehensive state climate plan.
  • Local governments, such as Dallas and Austin, have attempted to fill the gap with climate action plans; however, state-level resistance has hindered broader progress.
  • State Representative Matt Krause (2023): Krause criticized federal climate regulations, stating that “man cannot control the climate—only God can.” He argued that climate policies were economically harmful and ideologically driven.
  • Senator Bob Hall (2022): Hall dismissed climate science as “alarmist propaganda,” suggesting that weather patterns are part of a divine plan and not influenced by human activity. He has repeatedly opposed incentives for renewable energy.
  • General Legislative Pattern: As reported by MIT’s Climate Portal, Texas lawmakers have consistently blocked bills requiring state agencies to plan for climate impacts. Some legislators have described climate advocacy as a “cult,” framing environmentalism as a challenge to traditional values.

These views often coexist with efforts to protect fossil fuel industries and resist federal environmental regulations.

DOGE Boy Sawing in the Dead of Night

Sing to the tune of “Blackbird” by the Beatles

DOGE Boy sawing in the dead of night
Taking federal jobs away for good
All is right
He is only being a reverse prick Robin Hood

DOGE Boy sawing in the dead of night
Taking livelihoods from those in need
All is right
He is always feeding into all that ugly greed

DOGE Boy, saw
DOGE Boy, saw
Into the blight of the far alt right

DOGE Boy, saw
DOGE Boy, saw
Into the blight of the far alt right

DOGE Boy sawing in the dead of night
All the people’s dreams that he defers
All is right
Cuz’ he is only serving the rich people he prefers

Cuz’ he is only serving the rich people he prefers
Cuz’ he is only serving the rich people he prefers

Let’s Ask Arty about the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

Let’s Ask Arty uses existing Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology to query LLMs about politics in these troubled times.

Query 1: Do DOGE employees have access to classified information, and do they have access to the social security data of private citizens? Who oversees DOGE to make sure they are not breaking laws or violating privacy rights of US citizens?

DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) employees have reportedly gained access to classified information and sensitive data, including Social Security records, through various federal systems. Concerns have been raised about the lack of transparency regarding how DOGE staff are vetted and monitored before being granted such access.

Regarding Social Security data, DOGE has been accused of accessing sensitive information, such as names, birth dates, and earnings, as part of an anti-fraud initiative. This has sparked legal challenges and privacy concerns, with unions and advocacy groups seeking court intervention to block DOGE’s access.

Oversight of DOGE appears to be limited, as it operates under the Trump administration’s directives to streamline government operations. However, lawsuits and congressional inquiries have been initiated to address potential violations of privacy rights and ensure compliance with laws like the Privacy Act of 1974.

The situation has prompted calls for greater transparency and accountability in DOGE’s operations.

Query 2: Please provide a detailed list of the erroneous information posted on the DOGE wall of receipts.

The “wall of receipts” from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been criticized for containing numerous inaccuracies and misleading claims.

Here’s a detailed breakdown of some of the errors:

  1. Overstated Contract Values:
    • A contract listed as an $8 billion savings for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) was actually worth only $8 million.
    • A $232 million savings claim for the Social Security Administration turned out to be a much smaller $560,000 project.
  2. Duplicate Listings:
    • A $650 million USAID contract was listed three times, inflating the savings.
    • A single $25 million Department of Agriculture contract was quadruple-counted, resulting in a false claim of $100 million in savings.
  3. Misrepresentation of Blanket Purchase Agreements (BPAs):
    • DOGE included BPAs, which are catalogs of potential purchases rather than actual spending, as canceled contracts. This exaggerated the savings by at least $1 billion.
  4. Credit Lines Misrepresented as Savings:
    • Some contracts, like the ICE contract mentioned earlier, were credit lines that might never have been fully utilized.
  5. Savings from Previous Administrations:
    • Certain cuts, such as a $1.9 billion reduction at the Treasury Department, occurred under President Biden’s administration but were claimed by DOGE.
  6. Errors in Real Estate Savings:
    • DOGE attributed $144.6 million to real estate savings without providing supporting details, making independent verification difficult.
  7. Deleted Claims:
    • After scrutiny, DOGE removed its top five savings claims, including the ICE and USAID contracts, but did not adjust the total savings figure, which continued to grow without explanation.

These errors have raised significant questions about the credibility of DOGE’s claims and the methodology behind their calculations.

Query 3: Please list the “mistake firings” that DOGE made and the potential impact those firings had on America’s national security.

DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) has faced significant criticism for its mistake firings, which have had serious implications for America’s national security. Here are some notable examples:

Mistake Firings
  1. National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA):
    • DOGE mistakenly fired hundreds of employees working on nuclear weapons programs, including those responsible for reassembling warheads. These roles require the highest levels of clearance and expertise.
    • Many of these firings were later rescinded, but the disruption caused confusion and delays.
  2. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA):
    • DOGE laid off 130 employees from CISA, which plays a critical role in defending against cyber threats. This move weakened the agency’s ability to counter malicious cyber activities, particularly from adversaries like China.
  3. Department of Agriculture:
    • Employees working on combating bird flu were mistakenly terminated. This error jeopardized efforts to control the outbreak and ensure food safety.
  4. Veterans Affairs (VA):
    • DOGE planned to cut contracts and lay off workers essential for veterans’ healthcare, including those involved in sterility certification and air quality testing. These cuts risked compromising patient safety and care quality.

Potential Impact on National Security

  • Nuclear Security: The firings at NNSA undermined the systems securing the nation’s nuclear arsenal, raising concerns about the safety and readiness of these critical assets.
  • Cybersecurity: The loss of skilled personnel at CISA weakened the U.S.’s ability to defend against cyberattacks, leaving vulnerabilities that adversaries could exploit.
  • Public Health: The termination of experts working on bird flu and food safety posed risks to public health and the agricultural sector.
  • Veterans’ Care: Cuts at the VA threatened the well-being of veterans and the operational integrity of healthcare facilities.

Query 4: Compare the dollar amount of savings from the cuts made by DOGE to the deficit increase expected from the proposed budget from the Republican Congress.

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) claims to have saved $105 billion through various measures like asset sales, contract cancellations, and fraud detection. Meanwhile, the proposed budget from the Republican Congress is expected to increase the deficit by $3 trillion over the next decade, primarily due to $4.5 trillion in tax cuts offset by $1.5 trillion in spending cuts.

In comparison, DOGE’s savings amount to just 3.5% of the projected deficit increase from the Republican budget. This stark contrast highlights the scale of the deficit challenge and the relatively modest impact of DOGE’s savings in addressing it.

My Input

Imagine the collective apoplectic outrage from MAGA morons had a democrat President hired a private citizen (like George Soros) with deep partisan ties to the democratic party and no expertise in government to go on a slash-and-burn operation, with no concern about the impact on individual privacy rights, national security, and the health and wellbeing of American citizens. That is happening today with Elon Musk’s inexperienced, incompetent, unaccountable, and callous DOGE team.

There is a right way to audit government agencies for waste, fraud, and abuse, and then there’s the DOGE way.

The right way is to rely on non-partisan Inspectors General (IGs), which serve as watchdogs investigating waste, fraud, and abuse within federal government agencies. Trump undermined the independence of IGs when he fired (without cause) 17 of them early in his presidency and replaced them with loyalists. Trump’s claim that it is standard practice for an incoming president to fire and replace IGs is a lie (shocking, I know).

IGs are meant to transcend political transitions.

DOGE is supposed to collaborate with IGs in their federal agency audits. The Treasury Department’s office of the IG has already raised concerns about the collaboration. It recently launched an audit to investigate DOGE’s access to federal systems and handling of sensitive data. This audit of DOGE by the Treasury Department IG was fueled by concerns about DOGE’s potential misuse of government resources and the lack of transparency in DOGE operations (as mentioned by Arty).

The anti-government sentiment that propels DOGE is so prevalent and infective with MAGA that millions of MAGA followers don’t seem to care about the truthfulness of DOGE claims, the damage to America’s national security, the human cost to our fellow citizens, or that DOGE has no oversight or accountability for their actions.

And finally, the cartoonish display from Elon Musk at CPAC with his chainsaw encapsulates the lack of empathy and the dangerous and Social Darwinistic direction America is heading.

When it comes to DOGE, let’s be courageous and call out the outrageous.